Saturday, June 28, 2008

Barack Obama Ahead in Most National Polls

By JON HOPWOOD, published Jun 26, 2008


Barack Obama has opened up a 12-point lead over John McCain in a recent Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll, which surveyed 1,115 registered voters in the period of June 19-23. The poll's margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3%. According to the poll, Obama is the favorite of 49% of surveyed voters versus 37% who named McCain as the Presidential candidate they plan to vote fore. Obama does even better when independent candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader are added to the mix, commanding a whopping 15-point lead (48% to 33%). When the two Third Party candidate is added to the mix, McCain loses more independent-minded voters than does Obama, likely from what is being termed an "Enthusiasm Gap."

Among other national polls, only Newsweek gives Obama such a commanding lead. The magazine's 6/18-19 poll has Obama at 51% and McCain at 36%, while Gallup Tracking has the two candidates tied at 45% each in its June 22-24 poll. All other major national polls have Obama enjoying a slight lead over McCain: Rasmussen Tracking (6/22 - 24): Obama 49%, McCain 45%; Fox News (6/17 - 18): Obama 45%, McCain 41%; and USA Today/Gallup (6/15 - 19): Obama 50%, McCain 44%.

Times/Bloomberg Poll

Thirty-nine percent of those surveyed In the Times/Bloomberg Poll identified themselves as Democrats, while 27% identified themselves as independents and 22% as Republicans. Just over half (51%) of the surveyed voters claimed to have a "positive feeling" about the Democratic Party while only 29% felt similarly about the Republican Party.

A whopping 73% of respondents disapproved of the performance of President George W. Bush, which found favor among only 23% of the surveyed voters. This is bad news for John McCain, who is the standard bearer of the incumbent president's party.

Barack Obama Ahead in Most National Polls; Holds 12-Point Lead Over John McCain in Times/Bloomberg Poll

http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/842389/barack_obama_ahead_in_most_national.html

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